We also want to express great appreciation to the American people. ". Ending the Pandemic: Exponential Growth and Decay And that is a bad place to be.. But the reality is that with state and local laboratories in the country still getting up to speed with how to test for this infection, the full extent of spread is not known. In other words, the containment strategy favored by Fauci and Emanuel is dead (for now). The notion that the curve of this outbreak could be flattened began to gain credence after China took the extraordinary step of locking down tens of millions of The idea is that gradually al large part of the population has to become immune (app. Gottlieb: Europe's rise in Covid cases isn't predictive of U.S. trajectory, announced his administration's "15 days to slow the spread" campaign, acknowledged the outbreak could extend beyond the summer, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, took a couple of private sector positions. But with the intense focus on vaccines that has followed the deep politicization of the pandemic, that argument has often been explicitly rejected. "There should've been earlier shutdowns," Barbot said. Published: March 15, 2020 at 11:21 a.m. However, at the national level, it seems the Biden Administration is doubling down on the status quo of shutdowns, social distancing, and masks, as the primary solution to COVID-19. Since then, the country has reported 34,121,168 cases, and 150,720 deaths. And how do the lockdown tyrants respond? Flatten the curve remains a popular goal among policymakers, but now were back to the old definition: fear remains that hospitals and healthcare personnel will be overwhelmed. States that appear in shades of green have seen declines in cases over the same period of time. Coronavirus: What is 'flattening the curve,' and will it work? It suggested late Tuesday afternoon that there had been 808 cases in the U.S. and 28 deaths. This begs for hard thought into the arena of Planned Infection as an effective handling of this pandemic. Some simple math offers alarming answers, U.S. communities are braced for coronavirus outbreaks. "From what I am hearing now, it likely will be 12 to 18 months before a vaccine is available.". With interventions like social distancing and mask wearing, the CDC said, the peak of infections could be delayed and lowered, and the total number of infections could be reduced. Amplified by The Economist and on Twitter during the spring of 2020, the message took off. "In retrospect, I do think in February there were a significant number of undetected infections taking place, and we were scrambling to try and identify them.". The Instagram hashtag #FlattenTheCurve was shared more than a million times and Google searches for the phrase soared. Clearly we can no longer rely on them to make decisions which benefit freedom and liberty. The shade of the colors indicates the size of each states growth or decline in new cases; the darker the shade, the bigger the change. It is a viral pneumonia that is far more contagious and deadly than the flu. Sweden has put in place a very strong public health policy, Mike Ryan said, but unlike many other countries has chosen to rely on its relationship with its citizenry and trust them to self-regulate. "This is where technology really begins to take us forward in leaps and bounds.". Its time to talk about flattening the curve again But that safety never came and it never will. "The evidence from other nations is clear: Longer periods of time will be needed to reverse the tide.". This is why anti-lockdown protesters have taken to the streetsacross the planetto protest the lockdown tyrants. "If everyone makes this change or these critical changes and sacrifices now, we will rally together as one nation and we will defeat the virus and we're going to have a big celebration all together," Trump said at a White House press briefing on March 16, 2020, where he also announced the first vaccine candidate entering phase 1 clinical trials. Taiwan* New cases confirmed each day (7-day-average) down The first case of COVID-19 in Taiwan* was reported 992 days ago on January 21, 2020. Well, we saw multiple additional waves of infections, surges that did, in fact, occasionally overwhelm hospitals. Amid the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S., a number of different states have already flattened the curve. Thus, on April 2, Anthony Fauci, one of the lead bureaucrats on the White Houses COVID-19 advisory commission insisted that mandatory social distancingcould not be eased until further notice: If we get to the part of the curve where it goes down to essentially no new cases, no deaths for a period of time, I think it makes sense that you have to relax social distancing, [Fauci] added. CHANG: Well, to explain exactly what it means to flatten the curve of infectious diseases, we're joined now by Dr. Drew Harris. From the start of the pandemic, no one has been willing to admit what they don't know and as a result, so-called experts have just assumed the worst with devastating consequences for our economy and individual liberties. TheFinancial Timesreported on April 29: The World Health Organization has defended Swedens approach to tackling Covid-19, saying it has implemented strong measures to tackle the virus. This meme trend came few days ago and is now flooded over social media. Instead Fauci chose to lie to the American people, stating months later he did so to save supplies for frontline medical workers and we would have been "better off" by masking from the beginning. 14 Days to Flatten the Curve Meme Political Prankster Trolls City Council Dressed as Furry to Call Out Trans Lunacy, Alex Jones Joins Steven Crowder After $1 billion Sandy Hook Verdict This Means War!, The Inside Scoop Behind The Push To Make Trump Speaker Of The House, AOC Humiliated At Town Hall In Viral Clip: Why Cant You Be More Like Tulsi Gabbard?, Revolver Founder Darren Beattie on Jones Verdict: The Cost of Free Speech is One BILLION Dollars. What we got, of course, was something much more far reaching, radical, and disastrous for both the economy and forlong-term health problems. The message took off. None of it made much difference against the virus, it turned out. Trump asked people to stay home, avoid gathering in groups, forgo discretionary travel and stop eating in food courts and bars for the next 15 days. One Year of "15 Days to Flatten the Curve" - Modern Day Publius It wasn't until early April that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the World Health Organization acknowledged that wearing a mask could help protect people, she said. For visiting Era of Light. In fact, top U.S. health officials were urging Americans not to buy masks at the end of February in a bid to preserve supply for health-care providers. On April 9, the Hawaii Department of Educationannouncedthat all public schools are expected to stay shut until COVID-19 is no longer spreading in the community, defined as four weeks with no new cases.. Anthony Fauci had just lied to Congress about his views on COVID-19. Why not use the Chinese approach: from peak to zero infections in 6 weeks! I make this point not to underplay the tragedy of these deaths or the seriousness of the illness but to call into question the accuracy of much of the modeling and predictions used to justify draconian lockdowns. The 7-day average daily number of positive cases fell from 1,906 on Aug. 13 to 1,859 on Aug. 16. Reporting and analysis from the Hill and the White House, Its time to talk about flattening the curve again. Its time we act that way. Theres no better way to protect your family and your community than by arming yourself with accurate, up-to-date information. That is just not the case. A look back reveals how little was known about the virus, public health specialists said. As TFTP hasreported, we predicted this. The WHO has failed in their lack of guts to make tough decisions, theyve been on the potty squaking about global Angst instead. That was the idea of flattening the curve , reducing exposure to the virus to limit the number of people who fell ill and, by extension, who needed to be Former President Trump announced his "15 days to slow the spread" campaign one year ago, which urged Americans to stay home to combat the coronavirus pandemic. This is the real pandemic, but it goes on beneath the surface, and is probably at its peak now in many European countries. We dont want to go that route, Rivers told STAT. OMG, theres thick black smoke rolling out of the eaves of the house, but theres no visible fire! How are people supposed to find work if this goes on in some form for a year and a half? then-U.S. The time to act is clearly now. Who knows, maybe it will save a lot of lives.. "As soon as you can reliably test in a number of locations, you begin to get data that helps you decide the next step," Amler told Business Insider. "Seriously people STOP BUYING MASKS!" When the pandemic began, no one knew anything. Lockdown Concerns. Given that this virus is so transmittable, and is contagious before it is felt, there is a high likelihood that it will be flaring up and continuing to disrupt life for everyone for more than a year, possible much longer. "Comfort and physical safety are boons to humanity, but they bring some costs, too. On the efficacy of masks, Dr. Anthony Fauci has held positions ranging from "masks aren't necessary" to wearing two or three masks is "common sense. Every Sunday at 11:00am EST/New York. Two weeks to flatten the curve turned into months of restrictions, which have turned into nearly 365 days of mask-wearing, hand-washing and worries about 'Flattening the curve may be the worlds best bet to slow - STAT Are you a health care worker affected by the coronavirus outbreak? But even as testing capacity has improved in the last week, hospitals have faced a shortage of swabs needed to perform tests particularly in states like Missouri, Michigan, Ohio, and Washington. That was 663 days ago. So, we must keep society locked down indefinitely until a vaccine is found or until there can be enough testing and tracking of infections among the entire population. "With several of weeks of focused action we can turn the tide and turn it quickly.". The United States and other countries, experts say, are likely to be hit by tsunamis of Covid-19 cases in the coming weeks without aggressive public health responses. The website is no longer updated and links to external websites and some internal pages may not work. I know thats dreadful news to hear. '", "virus does not spread easily from contaminated surfaces. If a Wuhan-like outbreak were to take place in a U.S. city, even with strong social distancing and contact tracing protocols as strict as the Wuhan lockdown, hospitalization and ICU needs from COVID-19 patients alone may exceed current capacity, they wrote. This story first appeared in 1600 Daily, the White Houses evening newsletter. For others, it is an exercise in self-righteousness that allows for them to virtue signal indignation at anyone that does not take the pandemic as seriously as them. Flatten the curve was still used as a slogan, but its meaning had changed. This was what was really keeping me up at night, to unfortunately see Italy approaching that point, Vespignani said, adding that now that the country has effectively followed Chinas example and put its population on lockdown, hopefully this will work.. Wen, who is also anemergencyphysicianand public health professor at George Washington University, noted it wasn't just politicians, but also scientists, who didn't understand how to fight the virus. Together, these setbacks could lengthen the amount of time that Americans are told to stay at home. Their analysis, posted on a preprint server in advance of peer review, came to a chilling conclusion. President Trump continues to cut through every piece of unnecessary Washington red tape that may hinder response efforts, and he is continuing to make every Federal resource available to those who need it. But by taking certain steps canceling large public gatherings, for instance, and encouraging some people to restrict their contact with others governments have a shot at stamping out new chains of transmission, while also trying to mitigate the damage of the spread that isnt under control. The data is being closely watched Instead, he lied and lost the trust of half the country. That was 663 days ago. "Truly, for many of us in public health, this was a red flag an indication that the administration had an unrealistic view of pandemic control measures and was not aware of the reality a pandemic cannot be solved in 15 days and any strategy needs to include a serious amount of work resource, and personnel," she added. Line shows 7-day moving average of new cases per day in this state. That's because confirmed cases give a clearer picture of how people become infected and for how long. One public-health expert said social distancing should be enforced until a vaccine is developed in 12 to 18 months. The views expressed in the articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the perspective or beliefs of the Era of Light staff. "We cannot let the cure be worse than the problem itself," Trump wrote. That is what the curve represents. And then we again run the risk of overwhelming hospitals and thereby putting even those at little risk from the virus at risk of more-limited health-care options. The U.S. is nearly halfway through a 15-day plan to flatten the curve and reduce the incidence of coronavirus. The virus is spreading, were are told, including widely throughout the vaccinated population, because of the unvaccinated who are now dirty non-citizens., On Tuesday, French President Macron gave an interview to the La Parisien, in which he dehumanized the unvaccinated and urged other citizens to hate them, likening them to their worst enemies., I am not about pissing off the French people, Macron told the readers of Le Parisien. Now, with 2020 coming to an end and the US reporting, on average, 180,000 new cases and more than 2,000 new deaths every day, there is no more hope for And frankly speaking, its not helpful, Ryan told reporters. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. 2022 NewsWars ", Dr. Deborah Birx, who served as the White House Covid-19 Task Force coordinator under Trump, offered a glimpse last week into the early confusion over the science. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-march-15-31-2020-critical-time-contain-covid-19-us-khvatkov/, We went from almost no lockdowns to daily lockdowns: The mental health crisis inside California womens prisons. And we will continue to do this, to the end. Yet a year later, less than ten percent of the U.S. population has reported contracting the virus (29.5 million cases in a population of 328 million), while roughly half a million (0.16%) have lost their lives. President Trump declared a National Emergency in response to the Coronavirus on Friday, freeing up more than $42 billion in resources for states and localities. The recent emergence of the quick-spreading omicron variant combined with some initial reports suggesting that it may be less dangerous than the original variant reports that have been disputed have reintroduced the idea that containment measures be loosened to allow it to spread. You are overlooking the fact pointed out by Michael Osterholm that when these infected and distanced people eventually get out and into the workplace, public spaces, public transportation, etc., they will contribute to another spate of contagion and resulting deaths. What has happened to this country? Check it out. What flattening the curve really means, and why going hard - ABC And if youre unvaccinated, you have some reasons to be alarmed. We are now nearly two years, 2 presidents, 6 trillion dollars, and countless stolen rights into slowing the spread. Jan Welvaarts, Daily Analysis of COVID-19 infection curve by country https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-march-15-31-2020-critical-time-contain-covid-19-us-khvatkov/. 14 DAYS TO FLATTEN THE CURVE - Jared Pilon Any delay means more people will die. No higher priority than the health of the American people, Listen to and follow the directions of your. On any normal day, health systems in the United States typically run close to capacity. The purpose and intent of this is anchoring higher light and activating the Ascension Timeline on Earth now. 13.000. CDC / The Economist / Drew Harris / Nan Li, Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, one message became ubiquitous: flatten the curve.. The New York Times of all places, acknowledged this phenomenon in a recent piece titled 'Covid Absolutism.' That was the idea of flattening the curve, reducing exposure to the virus to limit the number of people who fell ill and, by extension, who needed to be hospitalized. Trump's 15-Day Coronavirus Response Plan to Flatten Curve Is What we need to do is flatten that down, Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told reporters Tuesday. PCR testing and some straightforward assumptions indicate that, as of April 29, 2020, more than half a million people in Stockholm county, Sweden, which is about 2025% of the population, have been infected (Hansson D, Swedish Public Health Agency, personal communication). flatten the curve, severe cases Just on the wrong axis. Population health educator Drew Harris adapted The Economists chart to share on Twitter. Indeed, this mass suffering has already begun in many parts of the world. Stopping containment measures too early, she added, could cause the virus to rebound later on. Checkout the memes below. "Simply put, 15 days is not enough to address so much of what we were facing in March 2020 and this plan really reveals an administration and national plan that was quite superficial in response," Popescu said in an email. Hard questions sometimes need innovative and hard decisions. Although we didnt see a difference in peoples ideas or behavioral intentions based on their awareness of the chart, the message is still beneficial because theres some evidence that it allowed people to form a more informed decision without relying on trust.. "At the end of the 15 day period, we will make a decision as to which way we want to go.". Countries across Europe, with the highest vaccination rates in the world, are now going into yet another round of lockdowns as cases hit record numbers. Vaccines do something similar, allowing potentially low-risk people to get a shot to reduce the likelihood that theyll get infected and spread it to others. Even if the rate of hospitalization is significantly lower than previous variants (for which there is some evidence), a small percentage of a big number can be a big number. In one of her first public appearances since leaving her role in the White House, Birx said there were doctors "from credible universities who came to the White House with these opposite opinions.". Flattening the curve could take at least several more weeks. This increase occurred shortly after It is time Americans and the rest of the world realize that freedom is not some commodity to be traded in exchange for our obedience. The notion that the curve of this outbreak could be flattened began to gain credence after China took the extraordinary step of locking down tens of millions of people days in advance of the Lunar New Year, to prevent the virus from spreading around the country from Wuhan, the city where the outbreak appears to have started. Not only on the individuals who end up not getting sick but all of the people that they would have ended up infecting. Enter your email to receive notifications of new posts. On March 16, 2020, the Trump administration released a 15 President Donald Trump embraced Scott Atlas, a neuroradiologist who promoted widespread infection in Fox News interviews. A massive, unprecedented nationwide response. I think weve had this unfortunate emergence of camps around the containment camp, the mitigation camp different groups presenting and championing their view of the world. Well find out. Other public health specialists weren't so forgiving of the White House's early response to the pandemic. Its healthcare system has not been overwhelmed, he said, adding that its approach could be a model for other countries when lockdowns begin to relax. A roundup of STAT's top stories of the day. It made sense, particularly in those first few weeks when we didnt know how bad things would get. So its the top priority right now that we bend the curve.. And fewer people in the hospital meant not only fewer people dying from covid-19 but less risk that hospitals would be unable to care for other, non-covid patients. This Project is supported by Bloomberg Philanthropies and the Stavros Niarchos Foundation (SNF). Why flattening the curve may be the worlds best bet to slow the coronavirus. Best Debt Consolidation Loans for Bad Credit, Personal Loans for 580 Credit Score or Lower, Personal Loans for 670 Credit Score or Lower. Sign up for notifications from Insider! But other places, notably Italy and Iran, are struggling. Hospitals in the north of the country, which the virus first took root, are filled beyond capacity, he said, and may soon face the nightmarish dilemma of having to decide who to try to save. Although the most popular versions removed messages about reducing the overall case numbers of COVID-19, their focus on protecting hospital capacity seemed to connect strongly with people who could envision their local hospitals filling up. when did 14 days to flatten the curve start So what I think were seeing is decision-makers struggling to pull the trigger on these really big, impactful decisions without having a clear sense of the current status.. This was yet another report, as TFTPs Don Via Jr. pointed out, that much like the aforementioned, didnotreceive national headlines from the corporate media. And in 2020 it is by far not as isolating due to the internet, cell phones, social and other media. The emphasis is only on social distance, wear three masks, and wait for a vaccine." Policy decisions can, and should, be based on more than safety alone. This switcheroo on the reason for the lockdowns was a great victory for the World Health Organization (WHO) and advocates for widespread state controls on the economy and daily life. Dear Mrs Branswell, 15 Days to Slow the Spread The White House - Archives Hes not convinced that people in the United States comprehend whats coming. https://t.co/nTz6UMX8yL, Matt Agorist (@MattAgorist) January 2, 2022. "There were people with legitimate credentials and stellar careers that were feeding information, and I had never seen that before, and that was enormously difficult," Birx said Thursday at a virtual symposium hosted by the New York Academy of Sciences and NYU Grossman School of Medicine. Not wanting to be left out,President Bidenalso spoke up, once again falsely claiming that we are in a pandemic of the unvaccinated and telling vaccinated people that there is nothing to worry about despite the recent surge in hospitalizations among the vaccinated population.
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